Illinois
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 83.8402Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H We Illinois 52- 3 906 A Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 45-19 913 H We Michigan MIDA (10- 4, 76.3) 38- 0 920 A Indiana B10 (16- 0, 99.9) 10-63 927 H USC B10 ( 9- 4, 87.5) 34-32 1004 A Purdue B10 ( 2-10, 72.3) 43-27 1011 H Ohio St B10 (12- 2, 97.9) 16-34 1025 A Washington B10 ( 8- 4, 85.6) 25-42 1101 H Rutgers B10 ( 5- 7, 77.8) 35-13 1115 H Maryland B10 ( 4- 8, 74.8) 24- 6 1122 A Wisconsin B10 ( 4- 8, 77.2) 10-27 1129 H Northwestern B10 ( 7- 6, 79.1) 20-13 1230 N Tennessee SEC ( 8- 5, 83.7) 30-28
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Duke 45-19 26 -3 +++ 16.58
913 H We Michigan 38- 0 38 13 1.21
920 A Indiana 10-63 -53 -21 0.00
927 H USC 34-32 2 2 0.43
1004 A Purdue 43-27 16 6 +++ 7.73
1011 H Ohio St 16-34 -18 -9 -- -5.21
1025 A Washington 25-42 -17 -7 --- -6.94
1101 H Rutgers 35-13 22 11 + 2.65
1115 H Maryland 24- 6 18 14 0.00
1122 A Wisconsin 10-27 -17 1 --- -15.34
1129 H Northwestern 20-13 7 10 - -2.95
1230 N Tennessee 30-28 2 0 1.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 A Washington 25-42 -17 -7 --- -6.94 1122 A Wisconsin 10-27 -17 1 --- -15.34 1011 H Ohio St 16-34 -18 -9 -- -5.21 1129 H Northwestern 20-13 7 10 - -2.95 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 A Duke 45-19 26 -3 +++ 16.58 1004 A Purdue 43-27 16 6 +++ 7.73 1101 H Rutgers 35-13 22 11 + 2.65 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 45-19 -18.74 32.48 5.26 1.06 80.19
3 H We Michigan (10- 4, 76.3) 38- 0 -23.59 27.63 -5.26 1.06 47.53
3 A Indiana (16- 0, 99.9) 10-63 -0.00 51.22 5.26 1.06 -2.79
3 H USC ( 9- 4, 87.5) 34-32 -12.37 38.85 -5.26 1.06 71.39
3 A Purdue ( 2-10, 72.3) 43-27 -27.59 23.63 5.26 1.06 61.38
3 H Ohio St (12- 2, 97.9) 16-34 -2.01 49.21 -5.26 1.06 -3.86
3 A Washington ( 8- 4, 85.6) 25-42 -14.26 36.96 5.26 1.06 -4.78
3 H Rutgers ( 5- 7, 77.8) 35-13 -22.15 29.07 -5.26 1.06 50.60
3 H Maryland ( 4- 8, 74.8) 24- 6 -25.12 26.10 -5.26 1.06 44.28
3 A Wisconsin ( 4- 8, 77.2) 10-27 -22.65 28.56 5.26 1.06 -9.24
3 H Northwestern ( 7- 6, 79.1) 20-13 -20.75 30.47 -5.26 1.06 53.56
3 N Tennessee ( 8- 5, 83.7) 30-28 -16.22 35.00 -0.00 1.06 74.37
------
462.62
|
winning pts = 483.2962 losing points = -20.6747
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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